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J Am Coll Cardiol Img, 2008; 1:1-11, doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2007.10.008
© 2008 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation
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Quantitative Echocardiographic Determinants of Clinical Outcome in Asymptomatic Patients With Aortic Regurgitation

A Prospective Study

Delphine Detaint, MD, David Messika-Zeitoun, MD, Joseph Maalouf, MD, Christophe Tribouilloy, MD, Douglas W. Mahoney, MS, A. Jamil Tajik, MD, FACC, Maurice Enriquez-Sarano, MD, FACC*

Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.


Figure 1
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Figure 1 Survival Under Conservative Management After Diagnosis of Asymptomatic Aortic Regurgitation

Patients are stratified according to quantitative American Society of Echocardiography (QASE) aortic regurgitation (AR) grading. The QASE-severe AR is defined as regurgitant volume ≥60 ml/beat or effective regurgitant orifice (ERO) ≥30 mm2 (yellow line), QASE-mild AR as regurgitant volume <30 ml/beat and ERO <10 mm2 (brown line), and QASE-moderate AR (dotted orange line) as larger than mild (regurgitant volume ≥30 ml/beat or ERO ≥10 mm2), but not reaching QASE-severe criteria. The 5- and 10-year survival rates ± SE are indicated. Note the lower survival with QASE-severe AR, whereas QASE-moderate AR displays survival similar to QASE-mild AR up to 5 years after diagnosis, with higher mortality thereafter.

 

Figure 2
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Figure 2 Composite End Point of Survival Free of Surgery for AR After Diagnosis of Asymptomatic AR

Patients are stratified according to QASE AR grading. The QASE-severe AR is defined as regurgitant volume ≥60 ml/beat or ERO ≥30 mm2 (yellow line). The QASE-mild AR as regurgitant volume <30 ml/beat and ERO <10 mm2 (brown line), and QASE-moderate AR (dotted orange line) as larger than mild (regurgitant volume ≥30 ml/beat or ERO ≥10 mm2), but not reaching QASE-severe criteria. The 5- and 10-year rates of the end point ± SE are indicated. Note the wide difference in outcome according to QASE grading at baseline. AVR = aortic valve replacement; other abbreviations as in Figure 1.

 

Figure 3
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Figure 3 Cardiac Events (Cardiac Death, Congestive Heart Failure, and New Atrial Fibrillation) Under Conservative Management After Diagnosis of Asymptomatic AR

Patients are stratified according to QASE AR grading. The QASE-severe AR is defined as regurgitant volume ≥60 ml/beat or ERO ≥30 mm2 (yellow line), QASE-mild AR as regurgitant volume <30 ml/beat and ERO <10 mm2 (brown line), and QASE-moderate AR (dotted orange line) as larger than mild (regurgitant volume ≥30 ml/beat or ERO ≥10 mm2), but not reaching QASE-severe criteria. The 5- and 10-year event rates ± SE are indicated. Note the progressive increase in event rates with the severity of QASE-grading of AR. Abbreviations as in Figure 1.

 

Figure 4
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Figure 4 Impact of ESVI Level on Cardiac Event Rates After Diagnosis of Asymptomatic AR

Cardiac events (cardiac death, congestive heart failure, and new atrial fibrillation) under conservative management after diagnosis of asymptomatic AR according to the left ventricular end-systolic volume index (ESVI, <45 ml/m2 [dotted line] or ≥45 ml/m2 [solid line]) stratified by quantitative AR grading. The left graph indicates cardiac events in patients with QASE-mild or QASE-moderate AR grades. The right graph indicates rates in QASE-severe AR grade. Note the higher cardiac events rates (indicated at 5 and 10 years ± SE) with ESVI ≥45 ml/m2, particularly with QASE-severe AR. Abbreviations as in Figure 1.

 

Figure 5
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Figure 5 Effect of Age (<50 and ≥50 Years) on Survival After Diagnosis and Cardiac Events

In each panel, survival or event rates are indicated at 5 and 10 years ± SE. Note the low mortality in patients age <50 years (A, 10-year survival 100%, 91 ± 9%, and 100% in QASE-mild, QASE-moderate, and QASE-severe, respectively), whereas mortality is higher after age 50 years (C) and significantly related to QASE-grading of AR. Cardiac events are significantly different according to QASE grading in patients age <50 (B) and ≥50 years (D) and are similar irrespective of age with QASE-severe AR (p = 0.84). Abbreviations as in Figure 1.

 




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